Not a typical May for Kelowna Real Estate

Kelowna Real Estate News

May 2024 Stats

While May is typically one of the strongest months of the year, it waivered some this year, especially for single family homes. Listings are continuing to climb across the board, as seasonally expected. Sales however, have been a little stagnant.

As you’ve likely heard by now, the Bank of Canada reduced the overnight rate by 0.25%, it’s really not a lot compared to the 5% increase we’ve had over the last 2 years. Those with variable rate mortgages will have a sigh of relief, but only see a very small decrease of $15/month for every $100,000 they’ve borrowed. ($500K mortgage = $75 less per month). It will however build towards a more positive sentiment for buyers which is what the market is currently lacking.

 SINGLE FAMILY HOMES


 Benchmark Price Trend (3 months)
12% of listings selling 
80% of sales are under $1.250M

We were on the verge of entering a balanced market, but single family homes have slipped from 14% of the listings selling, down to 12%; keeping them in a buyers market. The sales numbers are what is really the problem here. They were the 3rd lowest in 25 years. 
May 2024 Sales: 189
May 2000 Sales: 176 
10 Year Average: 270
25 Year Average: 248

May and June are typically quite close in sales, so I don’t expect much difference this month.

 TOWNHOMES 


 Benchmark Price Trend (3 months)
20% of listings selling
80% of sales are under $800K

Continuing to move even more into a healthy balanced market, townhomes are outperforming all other segments. Sales are still under the 10-year average, and listings are higher than we would expect, but they are ultimately doing well. While the majority of the activity is still under $800,000, there were 4 townhomes that sold over $1M last month. The most popular area was the Lower Mission, and Glenmore was a close second.

My biggest concern remains all of the new inventory, with 110 of the current 426 listings (26%) being built 2023 or newer. The average asking price of all listings is $870,000.


 CONDOS


 Benchmark Price Trend (3 months)
16% of listings selling 
80% of sales are under $600K

Once again, condos sit on the edge between a buyers / balanced market, hoping to inch their way towards townhomes. Sales are doing relatively well compared to our 10-year average, but we have 1.5x as many listings as we would expect which is what is dampening this segment and they are ever growing. Unlikely townhomes, less than 10% of the listings are new builds, but that could change over the next year or two as many projects approach completion.

ex-Short Term Rental Building Pulse
Playa Del Sol: 15 of 283 units for sale (1 sale in last 30 days)
Discovery Bay: 16 of 263 units for sale (0 sales in last 30 days)
Sunset Waterfront: 1 of 131 units for sale (0 sales in last 30 days)
As you can see , we still havn’t seen a flood of units out of the largest short term rental complexes. I’ll be curious to continue to keep an eye on this and see how it progresses.  I’m sure some good deals could be made in these buildings though.


Thinking of making a MOVE? 

 
Send me an email or give me a call at 250-870-8600. I’m always happy to talk to you about whether it makes sense or not for your situation.

 
 

Click below to view detailed graphs about the market segment you’re most interested in!


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Major Cities Report

 

Victoria

More Time And Choice In The Victoria Real Estate Market

A total of 763 properties sold in the Victoria Real Estate Board region this May, 1.5 per cent fewer than the 775 properties sold in May 2023 and a 12.5 per cent increase from April 2024.

 “This May was another stable month for both buyers and sellers. With more inventory on the market, consumers had more choice and could take time to make decisions and complete their due diligence. The additional listings also meant less pressure on pricing, so prices remained relatively flat.” said 2024 Victoria Real Estate Board Chair Laurie Lidstone. “After so many years of consumers navigating an unbalanced market, it is positive for buyers and sellers to see some months of consistent balance,” adds Chair Lidstone. “A lot of folks who have been watching the market over recent years may find that now is a good time to sell and buy as market conditions have changed for the better.”

There were 3,338 active listings for sale on the Victoria Real Estate Board Multiple Listing Service at the end of May 2024, an increase of 10.6 per cent compared to the previous month of April and a 52.5 per cent increase from the 2,189 active listings for sale at the end of May 2023.
Source

 

Vancouver

Home Sales Down In May While Inventory Continues To Increase

The number of transactions on the MLS® declined in May compared to what is typical for this time of year in Metro Vancouver. This shift has allowed the inventory of homes available for sale to continue to accumulate with over 13,000 homes now actively listed on the MLS® in the region.

“It’s a natural inclination to chalk these trends up to one factor or another, but what we’re seeing is a culmination of factors influencing buyer and seller decisions in the market right now. It’s everything from higher borrowing costs, to worries about the economy, to policy interventions imposed by various levels of government.” says Andrew Lis, REBGV director of economics and data analytics. “With market trends now tilting back toward more balanced conditions, as the number of new listings outpaces the number of sales, we should expect to see slower price growth over the coming months,” added Lis.

The MLS® Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver is currently $1,205,800. This represents a 2.8 per cent increase over April 2023 and a 0.8 per cent increase compared to March 2024.
Source

 

Calgary

Home Sales Remain Robust Despite Supply Shortages In Lower Price Ranges

In a market that continues to show resilience, May saw a total of 3,092 resale home sales. While this figure is nearly one per cent below last year’s record high, it is 34 per cent higher than long-term trends for the month. The pullback in sales was primarily driven by declines in lower-priced detached and semi-detached homes, where there was limited supply choice compared to last year.

New listings in May reached 4,333 units, almost 19 per cent higher than last year. This increase in new listings compared to sales caused the sales-to-new listings ratio to drop to 71 per cent, supporting a modest year-over-year inventory gain. Despite this, inventory levels remained nearly half what we typically see in May, with most gains driven by homes priced above $700,000.

While inventories did improve this month, conditions continue to favour sellers with one month of supply. Several districts continue to report less than one month of supply, while the City Centre reported the highest supply-to-sales ratio at one and a half months. Seller market conditions drove price growth across all districts in the city. The unadjusted total residential benchmark price in May reached $605,300, nearly one per cent higher than last month and 10 per cent higher than last May.
Source


Edmonton

Prices Continue To Climb In 2024

There were a total of 3,220 residential unit sales in the Greater Edmonton Area (GEA) real estate market during May 2024, showing increases of 3.3% over April 2024, and 18.9% over May 2023.

“We could be looking at the peak of our spring market right now, with 4,325 new listings having just hit the market,” says REALTORS® Association of Edmonton 2024 Board Chair Melanie Boles. “It also appears that current interest rates haven’t put a dent in buying activity this year, with more than 500 additional sales closing this month compared to May 2023. We could potentially be in for an even busier June, as the next Bank of Canada interest rate announcement on June 5th might spark more activity in the market.”

Total residential average prices came in at $441,350, a 2.2% increase from April 2024, and 5.0% increase from May 2023.
Source

 

Toronto

Less Competition For Home Buyers In May

May home sales continued at low levels, especially in comparison to last spring’s short-lived pick-up in market activity. Home buyers are still waiting for relief on the mortgage rate front. Existing homeowners are anticipating an uptick in demand, as evidenced by a year-over-year increase in new listings.

“While interest rates remained high in May, home buyers did continue to benefit from slightly lower selling prices compared to last year. We have seen selling prices adjust to mitigate the impact of higher mortgage rates. Affordability is expected to improve further as borrowing costs trend lower. However, as demand picks up, we will likely see renewed upward pressure on home prices as competition between buyers increases,” said TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer

Greater Toronto Area REALTORS reported 7,013 home sales through TRREB’s MLS® System in May 2024 – a 21.7 per cent decline compared to 8,960 sales reported in May 2023. New listings entered into the MLS® System amounted to 18,612 – up by 21.1 per cent year-overyear.
Source

250-870-8600
colin@kriegfamily.ca
RE/MAX Kelowna
#100 – 1553 Harvey Av.
Kelowna, BC, V1Y 6G1
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