Major Cities Report
Value Of Homes In Victoria Remains Stable While The Cost To Own Continues To Rise
A total of 493 properties sold in the Victoria Real Estate Board region this September, 20.2 per cent more than the 410 properties sold in September 2022 and a 9.4 per cent decrease from August 2023.
“More inventory means buyers may have more time to shop, though in many of our local markets a well-priced property will sell rapidly, and we’re still seeing some multiple offer situations. The challenge of the day is that there are many buyers who hope to find homes in the missing middle – families who seek two- or three-bedroom homes at attainable price points – who are challenged by our current interest rate environment. Though housing prices have remained reasonably stable this year, the cost of carrying a mortgage has increased tremendously. This means that many first-time buyers and families are unable to purchase homes in our current market.” said Victoria Real Estate Board Chair Graden Sol.
There were 2,699 active listings for sale on the Victoria Real Estate Board Multiple Listing Service® at the end of September 2023, an increase of 8.4 per cent compared to the previous month of August and a 17.3 per cent increase from the 2,300 active listings for sale at the end of September 2022.
Vancouver Inventory Increases And Price Gains Relent To Begin The Fall Season
The month-over-month price gains seen earlier this year abated in the Metro Vancouver housing market in September due to a seasonal decline in sales and a modest increase in inventory levels across the region.
“In contrast to the spring and summer, the September data suggests there may be a renewed interest on the part of sellers to participate in the market, with new listing activity rising back in line with long-term historical averages. This upward shift in new listings has allowed overall inventory levels to recover modestly from the low levels we saw earlier this year,” said Andrew Lis, REBGV director of economics and data analytics. “When we pair this dynamic with the slowdown in sales that typically occurs in the fall as a result of seasonal patterns, the outcome is more balanced market conditions overall.”
The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that residential home sales in the region totalled 1,926 in September 2023, a 13.2 per cent increase from the 1,701 sales recorded in September 2022. This was 26.3 per cent below the 10-year seasonal average (2,614).
Calgary Home Sales At Record Highs In September – Yet Supply Remains A Challenge
Sales reached another record high in September with 2,441 sales. Despite the year-over-year gains reported over the past four months, year-to-date sales are still nearly 12 per cent lower than last year’s levels.
“Supply has been a challenge in our market as strong inter-provincial migration has elevated housing demand despite higher lending rates,” said CREB® Chief Economist Ann-Marie Lurie. “While new listings are improving, it has not been enough to take us out of sellers’ market conditions.”
New listings improved this month compared to last year and relative to sales. This caused the sales-to-new listings ratio to fall to 76 per cent, preventing further monthly declines in inventory levels. Nonetheless, inventory levels in September remained over 24 per cent lower than levels seen last year and, when measured relative to sales activity, has not changed enough to cause any significant shift in supply and demand balances. As of September, the months of supply has remained relatively low at less than two months.
Fall Market Brings Cooling Effect
Total residential unit sales in the Greater Edmonton Area (GEA) real estate market for September 2023 hit 2,058, dropping from August 2023 by 8.4% and increasing 25.8% compared to September 2022.
“We’re continuing to see the trend of a higher number of sales happening in 2023 compared to last year, but the market is still slowing down for autumn. Sales in almost every category fell from the previous month,” says REALTORS® Association of Edmonton 2023 Board Chair Melanie Boles. “Sellers hoping to close before the holidays have lower available inventory on their side, but they will have to contend with higher buyer uncertainty from the Bank of Canada’s looming October announcement about interest rates.”
The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) composite benchmark price* in the GEA came in at $380,280, resulting in a decrease of 0.1% from August 2023, and a drop of 1.2% from September 2022.
High Interest Rates Impacting The Market, But Population Growth Will Soon Spur Demand
The impact of high borrowing costs, high inflation, uncertainty surrounding future Bank of Canada decisions and slower economic growth continued to weigh on Greater Toronto Area home sales in September. However, despite the market being better-supplied with listings, the average selling price was up year-over-year.
“The short and medium-term outlooks for the GTA housing market are very different. In the short term, the consensus view is that borrowing costs will remain elevated until mid-2024, after which they will start to trend lower. This suggests that we should start to see a marked uptick in demand for ownership housing in the second half of next year, as lower rates and record population growth spur an increase in buyers,” said TRREB President Paul Baron.
REALTORS® reported 4,642 home sales through TRREB’s MLS® System in September 2023 – down 7.1 per cent compared to September 2022. The year-over-year dip in sales was more pronounced for ground-oriented homes, particularly semi-detached houses and townhouses. On a month-over-month seasonally-adjusted basis, sales were also down slightly